Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.385575 0.421620 0.460080 0.504263 0.553731 0.607536 0.670658
2025-12-21 0.316173 0.364615 0.419780 0.487626 0.569329 0.665189 0.787114
2025-12-28 0.286622 0.342775 0.409663 0.495979 0.605534 0.741456 0.925237
2026-01-04 0.264456 0.325496 0.400857 0.501973 0.635982 0.810212 1.058430
2026-01-11 0.245929 0.310073 0.391697 0.504919 0.660697 0.871735 1.186786
2026-01-18 0.230267 0.296470 0.382970 0.506537 0.682342 0.929561 1.314878
2026-01-25 0.218035 0.286104 0.377208 0.510926 0.707197 0.993070 1.457374
2026-02-01 0.202690 0.270194 0.362374 0.500789 0.709407 1.022573 1.549785
2026-02-08 0.193149 0.261541 0.356822 0.503208 0.729850 1.080767 1.693954
2026-02-15 0.182860 0.251054 0.347760 0.499405 0.739938 1.122990 1.815687
2026-02-22 0.175240 0.243863 0.342884 0.501327 0.758770 1.180510 1.970246
2026-03-01 0.166296 0.234148 0.333552 0.495452 0.764177 1.215650 2.088115
2026-03-08 0.157855 0.224827 0.324413 0.489472 0.769302 1.251474 2.213492
2026-03-15 0.147688 0.212368 0.309750 0.473549 0.756266 1.254042 2.274899
2026-03-22 0.143910 0.209464 0.309737 0.481607 0.785192 1.334921 2.503854
2026-03-29 0.139908 0.205957 0.308493 0.487389 0.810386 1.411182 2.734266
2026-04-05 0.135576 0.201675 0.305706 0.490231 0.830309 1.479148 2.956773
2026-04-12 0.131291 0.197231 0.302364 0.491793 0.847834 1.543967 3.181999
2026-04-19 0.127807 0.193894 0.300636 0.496026 0.870665 1.621729 3.449814
2026-04-26 0.121958 0.186399 0.291512 0.486248 0.865373 1.640254 3.576694
2026-05-03 0.118650 0.182958 0.289092 0.488581 0.884186 1.711967 3.848711
2026-05-10 0.114508 0.177926 0.283661 0.484912 0.890493 1.756887 4.058708
2026-05-17 0.111536 0.174733 0.281254 0.486767 0.908233 1.829129 4.354811